CF Montreal v Toronto FC: Herdman promises changes for Canadian ´six-pointer´

John Herdman has pledged to work on Toronto FC’s shortcomings ahead of Saturday’s derby versus CF Montreal, which he has described as a “six-pointer”.

Toronto ended a miserable 10-game winless run by beating the Philadelphia Union 2-1 last weekend but were then brought crashing back to earth in midweek.

An Inter Miami team without Lionel Messi or Sergio Busquets, and with Luis Suarez limited to a substitute role, beat the Reds 3-1 to leave them eighth in the Eastern Conference.

Speaking ahead of Saturday’s trip to Quebec, Herdman said getting on the right side of the fine margins must be their focus, saying: “We’ll fix some things.

“We’ll fix our set-pieces and move forward. We’ve got to look, mentally, at how we stay stronger, collectively, tactically how we adjust to manage these tougher periods.

“We will own this together and next task is on to Montreal. We’ve got two days to get ready for Montreal. Massive game. Six-pointer. We’ll get after it.

Winger Derrick Etienne Jr., meanwhile, thinks the match comes at an ideal time.

“It comes at the right time,” he said. “We want to get back to winning ways and I don’t think there is any better way than getting a win in the derby.”

Final from Chase Stadium. pic.twitter.com/jZ3EftAnCm

— Toronto FC (@TorontoFC) July 18, 2024

Montreal are level on points with Toronto but are on the rise after a 1-0 win over Atlanta United and Wednesday’s 2-2 draw with the New York Red Bulls, coming from behind twice in the latter game.

Mathieu Choiniere put through his own net in midweek but has impressed this season amid speculation he could leave the club, and boss Laurent Courtois has moved to highlight his contribution.

“He wants to give everything for his club, and I need Mathieu, not only for his versatility but also for the mentality and identity we want to have here,” Courtois said.

“Now the player wants to get something to feel more valued, and at the end of the day we’re all the same right? You just want to be valued for what you give, and he gives a lot.”

PLAYERS TO WATCH

CF Montreal – Josef Martinez

Martinez scored both of Montreal’s goals off the bench on Wednesday, his 22nd multi-goal MLS match and his second as a substitute.

The striker’s 22 multi-goal games are tied for third most in league history.

Toronto FC – Federico Bernardeschi

Bernardeschi has scored six goals in five matches against Montreal, including a hat-trick in the rivals’ last meeting.

Only Brian White (seven versus St. Louis City) has scored more goals against a single opponent in MLS since Bernardeschi joined the league in July 2022.

MATCH PREDICTION – CF MONTREAL WIN

Montreal have won five straight home matches against Toronto, the longest home winning streak by either team against the other in the history of the series (54 matches).

They twice came from behind against the Red Bulls on Wednesday and have now lost just two of their last 11 matches (three wins, six draws). With home advantage on their side, they will be favourites.

Indeed, Toronto are winless in their last eight away games (two draws, six losses), including losing their last five road matches in a row.

OPTA WIN PROBABILITY

CF Montreal – 56.1%

Toronto FC – 21.2%

Draw – 22.7%