How to win double chance football bets

A double chance selection gives you the highest probability to win your bet, from any other picks available on a bookmaker’s offer. It is the favourite market for punters who like to wage on Accumulators or use the in-play section of the game. In this article, my goal is to explain to you how to win double-chance football bets using statistics and pre-match analysis.

What is a double-chance football bet?

A double-chance football bet allows you to pick 2 out of the possible 3 outcomes. This aspect is very important since you get a 67% chance to win, the highest of any other pick on the football betting market. Bookmakers are very well aware of this aspect which is why they will always price short the double chance pick.

The double chance market gives you 3 options to pick from:

• 1X selection will be a winner if the home team does not lose the game (the team can either win or draw).
• 12 comes from the final result, excluding the draw. You will win your bet if any of the teams win, with a final result draw having you lose your money.
• X2 means you back the away team to leave the pitch undefeated (the visitors can either win or draw).

What is the difference between double chance and draw no bet?

Many punters are confusing double chance with DNB! So what is the main difference between these markets?

The difference between a double chance bet and DNB (draw no bet) consists of the odds offered by the bookmaker plus the potential winning in case of a full-time draw result. A double-chance bet will always have a smaller return compared to a DNB.

But on the other side, if you pick 1X or X2 you can potentially win your bet if the game ends in a stalemate. The DNB selection will return your stake if the final result ends with each team winning a point. Also, selecting 12 is of great value if you don’t see the game ending in a draw but as well you are not sure who the winner will be.

The best double chance football betting strategy

We as punters are always trying to beat the bookies. One of the best ways to do it is by finding value bets. In this particular case, we can find value by building Accumulator bets and using the in-play (live) betting feature of a football match.

How to win double chance football Accumulators bets

A very good strategy on how to win double chance football bets is to build Acca’s.

Adding top teams to your accumulator bet is not the way to go since the odds will be too small. The best way to win a double chance Acca is by using in-form teams. Aston Villa, Newcastle, and Stuttgart are just a few sides that have strong teams getting positive results every week. A 4-fold Acca was quite easy to build backing these valuable teams that are in top form.

Unai Emery‘s Aston Villa travelled to London to face a free fall Tottenham. The lack of James Maddison, who is probably the most important player, alongside Son, coupled with the last 2 consecutive Premier League defeats spelled a difficult match against a high-flying Villa.

Although they welcomed an outstanding Chelsea, Newcastle won 8 of their 10 matches played at St James’ Park. Liverpool in the Premier League and Dortmund in the Champions League were the only teams to win on Newcastle’s ground. Defeating Manchester City and PSG shows even further the Magpies’ strength when playing in front of their own fans.

Stuttgart are the Bundesliga revelation, fighting this season for a top 4 finish. The same as Newcastle, Stuttgart won all of their matches played away this season, except the games against Heidenheim and Leipzig.

Montpellier and Brest were desperate for a win considering the dip in form both teams experienced lately. Only 3 of each’s 12 Ligue 1 games ended in a stalemate, a perfect scenario for a double chance 12 pick.

How to win double chance in-play bets

One of the best ways to turn the odds in your favour and beat the bookies is to bet live. Using time to your advantage you can get boosted odds compared to a classic pre-match bet. It is very important to do a detailed analysis of the game using statistics before you decide your pick.

Knowing exactly who are you backing, you only wait for the right opportunity to come.

Bodo/Glimt welcomed Molde in the round 12 derby match of the EliteSerien. Both teams are fighting each year to gain supremacy in the Norwegian football club. I was following both sides, having already bet on them.

Bodo/Glimt vs Molde live betting breakdown

My pre-match analysis indicated a very open game with goals scored at both ends.

As for the final result, a draw was the most likely outcome, considering that both sides were in top form having also very similar market value. Molde started very poor receiving a red card. By the time the bookies were re-calculating the odds, the visitors went on to score 2 goals taking the lead at halftime.

I was skeptical about backing Bodo/Glimt since they had a high handicap to overturn. Also, backing the hosts to score was not priced at a good value, with Molde having one player sent off. I decided to wait and see how the game would unfold, waiting for an opportunity to occur.

Bodo Glimt got back in the match by scoring in the 66th minute. The odds were still short for a 1x double chance bet. I was certain the hosts would score at least one more goal and would not lose the game. With 15 minutes left to be played, I placed 219 Lei on a double chance 1x bet on Bodo Glimt.

Ulrik Saltnes scored in the stoppage time for a 2-2 full-time result. The odds were 1.93 with a total win of 422,67 Lei, resulting in a decent 203,67 Lei profit.

Use all the tips above to win double-chance football bets. Bet only what you can afford to lose and always gamble responsibly!