Inter Miami in ´perfect´ position to make MLS history

Inter Miami are in a “perfect” position to etch their names into MLS history when they host the New England Revolution on Saturday, with a single-season points record within reach.

That is the view of defender Ian Fray, after Gerardo Martino’s men wrapped up the Supporters’ Shield – and home advantage for the playoffs – early.

Miami have 71 points with one game of the regular season remaining, and a victory would see them surpass the Revs’ all-time high of 73 points from the 2021 campaign.

Fray feels playing at Chase Stadium can help Miami get over the line, saying: “Having home-field advantage is amazing, especially with our fans. It’s the perfect situation for us.”

Lionel Messi and Luis Suarez were both substitutes for Miami’s last game – a late 1-0 win at Toronto FC – as Martino opted to rest the forward duo.

“It was logical that after two complete games, as most of them had played, we would make a rotation,” he said.

“We were able to meet the two objectives, for the players to have some rest and to win the game, which is what we wanted. We wanted to be able to achieve the points record.”

SUPPORTERS’ SHIELD CHAMPIONS! pic.twitter.com/Dcfk2RYFSO

— Inter Miami CF (@InterMiamiCF) October 3, 2024

Opponents New England are playing merely to defend their 2021 honour, sitting some nine points adrift of the playoff picture, 14th in the Eastern Conference standings.

Head coach Caleb Porter, though, has already turned his attention towards what comes next after they missed the postseason for just the second time in six years.

“It’s really important, when we’re making corrections next year and in the offseason, that we don’t throw the baby out with the bathwater,” he said.

“That’s the tendency in the offseason when you end a season like this. You have to take a deep dive into what went wrong.

“I have to look at myself, I have to coach better, I have to figure out what I can do better. It starts with me.”

PLAYERS TO WATCH

Inter Miami – Lionel Messi

The favourite to be named this year’s MLS MVP, Messi enters the final match of the regular season averaging 1.98 goal contributions per 90 minutes.

Only one player in MLS history has averaged more than 1.40 goal contributions per 90 over a full season before: Carlos Vela (1.62) in 2019 (minimum 1000 minutes played).

New England Revolution – Aljaz Ivacic

New England’s 4-0 loss at the Columbus Crew last Saturday was the eighth time this season that the Revs have lost a match by at least three goals. That equals the most three-goal defeats by a team in a single season in MLS history, done four times before.

If they are to avoid making unwanted history against a rampant Miami team, they will need Ivacic to be on top form, though his save percentage of 66% is only the 20th-best figure among the 33 goalkeepers to play 10 MLS matches this year.

MATCH PREDICTION – INTER MIAMI WIN

None of the seven all-time meetings between Miami and New England have ended in draws.

The sides split the season series in each of the previous three years, with both sides winning once in each campaign, while Miami won in New England, 4-1, on April 27 this year.

Miami, on 71 points entering the final day of the season, can break New England’s single-season MLS points record of 73 with a win. A victory would also be Miami’s 22nd this season, equalling the most in a single season in league history.

New England have lost five straight away matches, including a 4-0 loss to the Crew on Saturday.

The Revs have been outscored 15-1 in those games, so the chances of them denying Miami a slice of history appear slim.

OPTA WIN PROBABILITY

Inter Miami – 67.1%

New England Revolution – 14.9%

Draw – 18.1%