Portland Timbers v Austin FC: ´We’re exactly where we want to be´ – Neville

Phil Neville knows his Portland Timbers team have their fate in their own hands, and says they are “exactly where we want to be”.

The Timbers drew 1-1 with their Pacific north-west rivals the Vancouver Whitecaps last time out.

With FC Dallas losing to Orlando City, Portland are eight points clear in the final playoff wildcard spot in the Western Conference with only nine points left to play for.

It means that a win against Austin FC on Wednesday would guarantee the Timbers’ place in the postseason.

A draw may also be enough, depending on Dallas’ result elsewhere, though Portland then face the team from Texas in their penultimate regular-season match.

Neville said: “It’s in our own hands.

“What I’ve said to the players is that at the start of the season, when we were in preseason and setting the goals for the season, if we’d have known with three games to go, our destination is in our hands, then I think we would have snatched their hands off.

“Now it’s over to us, it’s up to us to do what we do at home.

“Two really tough games against two really well-coached teams but it’s in our own hands. We’re exactly where we want to be and we want to chase down the people in front of us.”

We continue the push

See you Wednesday, #RCTID: https://t.co/qt7Kz3ktKg pic.twitter.com/0cL9EF23ez

— Portland Timbers (@TimbersFC) September 30, 2024

Austin are not mathematically out of the equation for the playoffs, though they would have to win to keep their slender hopes alive.

PLAYERS TO WATCH

Portland Timbers – Evander

Evander has recorded an assist in an MLS-record nine straight home matches.

The Brazilian has 12 assists in home matches this season and could equal the third-most in a single season in league history with one more as only Carlos Valderrama (15 in 2000) and Preki (15 in 1997) had more than 13 in a single season.

Austin FC – Sebastian Driussi

Two years ago, Driussi plundered 25 goals in MLS. Last year, he scored 11.

It has been slim pickings in comparison this term for the Austin playmaker, who has netted five times, and has not scored since May in the league. If he is to come good, this is the time to do it.

MATCH PREDICTION: PORTLAND WIN

Austin scored in the 81st and 89th minutes to come from 2-0 down to earn a draw against Real Salt Lake on Saturday.

It marked the second time Austin have overcome a two-goal deficit in the 80th minute or later also doing so in a 3—2 win against D.C. United in April 2022.

However, the Timbers are made the favourites by Opta’s model.

Austin have managed just six wins in 38 away from home in all competitions (D9 L23), while the Timbers have won 10 of their last 12 home matches in all competitions (D2). Portland have scored four times in five of those 12 matches, including three of the last four.

The Timbers have won five of their last six matches against Austin (D1) after losing each of the first two meetings, both in Austin.

Austin scored seven goals in their first two matches against Portland but have managed just five goals in the six meetings since.

OPTA WIN PROBABILITY

Portland Timbers – 53.4%

Austin – 22.7%

Draw – 23.9%