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Prediction: Argentina vs Mexico

Juan Pablo Aravena in Free Soccer Predictions 10 Sep 2019

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Verdict: Over 2.5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 11/10

Bookmaker: 888sport

The international break is upon us, and most teams in the world continue to play all over the globe, whether in European Championship Qualifiers, 2022 World Cup Qualifiers or international friendlies. Our upcoming match falls into the latter category, as Mexico will take on Argentina in a thrilling friendly between two of the top countries in the Latin American region. Kick-off for this match is slated for Wednesday at 04:oo BST.

Argentina

La Albiceleste are coming off a 0-0 draw against Chile in their most recent friendly last week, and they also finished in third place during the 2019 Copa America held earlier this year. Now under the tutelage of Lionel Scaloni, the two-time World Cup winners are looking to renew the squad. Names such as Gonzalo Higuain, Sergio Aguero and Ever Banega – just to name a few – are no longer part of the scheme, but now Argentina has fresh faces such as Paulo Dybala, Lautaro Martinez, Renzo Saravia, Giovani Lo Celso and Leandro Paredes leading the way. Only time will tell whether Argentina can return to their glory days in the past, but the early returns are successful. In 10 games during this calendar year, Argentina have posted a W5, D2, L3 mark. They are W9, D3, L4 since the end of the 2018 FIFA World Cup.

Team News

Argentina have no injury concerns ahead of this match. However, star forward Lionel Messi is not with the team since he is currently suspended by CONMEBOL.

Mexico

Los Aztecas could be considered one of the hottest National Teams in the world. If we include extra time and penalties, then Mexico have won their last 11 matches, and have gone W12, L5 since the end of the 2018 FIFA World Cup. It is worth noting, however, that El Tri went W1, L5 in their immediate six games following Russia 2018, and that they have not lost a single match since the appointment of former Paraguay, Argentina and Atlanta United manager Gerardo Martino. With top-class players such as Raul Jimenez, Hector Herrera, Andres Guardado and Hirving Lozano anchoring the squad, as well as the presence of all-time leading scorer Javier Hernandez, there’s no question can represent a complicated opponent for any team in the world. Can they get the job done against Argentina?

Team News

Mexico are at full strength ahead of this tie.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Only one of Argentina’s last seven matches has produced over 2.5 goals scored. The same thing has happened in five of Mexico’s last seven.
  • Mexico have kept three consecutive clean sheets. Meanwhile, Argentina have conceded more than once in just one of their last five games.
  • Argentina hold the edge in the recent H2H record, with three wins against Mexico’s one in the last five H2H outings (W3, D1, L1).
  • Only two of those five matches have featured both teams scoring. Three of those have produced under 2.5 goals in total.
  • Mexico have scored two or more goals in nine of their 11 matches in 2019.

Conclusion

Matches between Argentina and Mexico tend to be quite intense and open, especially considering how well Mexico have been playing of late. Given the fact that both sides tend to play with an attacking approach, this contest could easily end up with at least three goals scored in total.

Verdict: Over 2.5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 11/10

Bookmaker: 888sport

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Juan Pablo Aravena


A freelance writer and sports analyst with almost five years of experience in the industry before joining SoccerNews, Juan Pablo Aravena is based in Chile and currently contributes to several publications and websites including SoccerNews, 12up, and Sports From The Basement, while also working as a fantasy beat writer for RotoWire, as a database editor for EA Sports, and as a football analyst for SmartOdds and InsideFutbol. His areas of focus are Serie A, Bundesliga, Premier League, LaLiga, and Ligue 1, but he has also written about MLS and South American football in the past.

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