Thursday, January 16, 2025

Prediction: Inter Milan vs AC Milan

Tom Dunstan in Free Soccer Predictions 18 Apr 2022

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Verdict: Under 3.5 goals

Best Odds: 4/11

Bookmaker: Unibet

With a spot in the final of this year’s Coppa Italia still hanging in the balance, Inter Milan and AC Milan will face off at the San Siro on Tuesday night.

Inter Milan

Starting with Inter, last seen over the weekend when putting in a routine display away at Spezia, the Nerazzurri will be desperate to keep up that momentum here. Eventually picking up a 3-1 victory on the road and picking up some perfect momentum heading into Tuesday’s Coppa Italia semi-final, Head Coach Simone Inzaghi is dreaming of a domestic double this season. Hunting down a two-point deficit to their bitter rivals, the defending Serie A champions are in the midst of a recent purple patch. Although Inter might have been disappointed to have played out back-to-back 1-1 draws against Fiorentina and Torino when heading into March’s international break, they are in the midst of an extended nine-match unbeaten run across all formats. Although Inzaghi’s side might have seen Premier League giants Liverpool end their Champions League adventure last month, they did manage to pick up an eye-catching 1-0 win away at Anfield in their second-leg showdown.

Team News

Despite picking up a knock against Spezia over the weekend, Alessandro Bastoni is expected to be given the green light to feature here.

Coming off the bench and finding the net a few days ago, Lautaro Martinez could be in for a recall.

AC Milan

As for AC, managing to make a much-welcomed return to winning ways over the weekend, the mood in Stefano Pioli’s camp should be at a real high. Eventually claiming a 2-0 victory against relegation scrappers Genoa on home soil, the Rossoneri find themselves sat in pole position to claim their first Serie A crown since 2011. Holding a two-point buffer over the chasing pack and gaining a host of plaudits from across Italy this season, they are also in the midst of their own extended purple patch. Despite having to settle for back-to-back stalemates against Torino and Bologna earlier in the month, AC are unbeaten in each of their last 13 matchups across all formats, a run that stems back to January 17th. Looking to lay down a marker when they turn their attention back to Coppa Italia duties in midweek, Pioli will be boosted by his side’s continued success at the back. It should be highlighted, the Serie A leaders have not conceded a single strike in any of their last seven appearances.

Team News

AC will once again be without the likes of Zlatan Ibrahimovic, Simon Kjaer and Alessio Romagnoli for Tuesday’s semi-final.

Likewise, Davide Calabria will also miss out after picking up a knock over the weekend.

Key Factors to Consider

    • When the two sides faced off in the first-leg on March 3rd, they played out a 0-0 stalemate.
    • AC Milan are currently enjoying a 13-match run across all formats, a run that stems back to January 17th.
    • Likewise, the Nerazzurri are in the midst of their own nine-match unbeaten run across all formats.
    • Each of the last six meetings between Tuesday’s opponents have finished with under 3.5 goals.
    • AC have recorded seven clean sheets on the bounce.

    Conclusion

    While we might have a real showdown between two Italian giants on Tuesday night, we could have a cagey affair on our hands. With a spot in the final of this season’s Coppa Italia firmly hanging in the balance, both sides find themselves enjoying their own extended unbeaten runs. Playing out a 0-0 stalemate when they faced off in the first-leg last month, it should be noted that AC have continued to shine with their displays at the back. Recording seven clean sheets on the spin, chances could come at a premium here. With each of the last six meetings between Tuesday’s opponents finishing with under 3.5 goals, we’re backing a similar outcome here.

    Verdict: Under 3.5 goals

    Best Odds: 4/11

    Bookmaker: Unibet

    ABOUT THE AUTHOR

    Tom Dunstan


    Formerly of The Independent, Tom has spent the past six years as one of our senior writers and betting experts. Alongside working with numerous publications from across the globe, Tom also graduated from the University of Falmouth in 2014 with a Bachelor of Arts Degree in Digital Media.
    Spending almost the past decade working in countries such as Australia, New Zealand and Canada, he has also spent time featuring in sports radio. Tom can be followed on Instagram - @iamtomdunstan

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