Tuesday, March 11, 2025

Prediction: Sassuolo vs Fiorentina

Tom Dunstan in Free Soccer Predictions, Serie A 4 Jan 2024

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Verdict: Fiorentina win

Best Odds: 5/4

Bookmaker: Luckster

Looking to open the New Year with another Serie A statement, Fiorentina will travel to the Mapei Stadium when they meet Sassuolo on Saturday night.

Sassuolo

Starting with the hosts, crashing out of the Coppa Italia earlier in the week thanks to a routine 3-1 loss at the hands of Atalanta, it is no secret that Sassuolo find themselves at the heart of a major domestic struggle. Although Alessio Dionisi’s men might have eventually cruised their way to Serie A safety last season, the Neroverdi are looking over their shoulder at a looming relegation scarp and they have continued to come under some mounting scrutiny. Signing off 2023 with a toothless performance as they suffered a 1-0 loss away at AC Milan, Sassuolo have collected just a single point from any of their last five top-flight appearances. Currently holding just a two-point buffer from slipping into the relegation play-off spot, Saturday’s hosts should also be concerned by their extended issues on home soil. Including a 2-1 defeat against fellow strugglers Genoa last month, Dionisi’s side have not claimed a single Serie A win in front of their own supporters since back on September 23rd.

Team News

Not making a single Serie A appearance since the start of October, Sassuolo will once again be without former West Ham midfielder Pedro Obiang here. Likewise, Dionisi is also unable to call upon the duo of Uros Racic and one-time Roma forward Gregoire Defrel on Saturday night.

However, returning from his own respective injury issue and bagging a consolation strike against Atalanta earlier in the week, 22-year-old Daniel Boloca could be handed a full recall. Former AC Milan star Samu Castillejo will also be hoping could replace Nedim Bajrami in the final third.

Fiorentina

As for the visitors, continuing to shine this season and gaining a string of plaudits from across Italy’s elite, Fiorentina firmly have their sights set on clinching a famous Champions League return in 2024. Last seen signing off 2023 with a gritty 1-0 victory at home against Torino, there is no doubt that Vincenzo Italiano’s men will be looking to make another statement here. Storming their way to another Europa Conference League knockout stage ticket last month, the Viola are unbeaten in all of their previous eight straight appearances across all competitions. Likewise, with that extended flurry stemming all the way back to November 25th, Saturday’s guests have won all of their last three domestic showdowns by a 1-0 scoreline. Breezing their way to a 3-1 romp when they last travelled to the Mapei Stadium back on June 2nd, Fiorentina will be relishing another trip to Sassuolo this weekend.

Team News

Both dealing with respective long-term knee injuries, Fiorentina will once again be without the duo of Gaetano Castrovilli and Brazilian defender Dodo this weekend. Likewise, missing each of the Viola’s last three Serie A appearances, Italiano’s side are sweating over the fitness of attacking talisman Nicolas Gonzalez.

Signing off 2023 with a pair of goals in his final three top-flight appearances, ex-River Plate starlet Lucas Beltran will once again spearhead Fiorentina’s charge on Saturday night. Former Liverpool loanee Arthur Melo will partner 30-year-old Duncan at the heart of Italiano’s midfield.

Key Factors to Consider

    • When Sassuolo and Fiorentina last met back on June 2nd, the Viola picked up a 3-1 romp at the Mapei Stadium.
    • Likewise, Saturday’s guests secured back-to-back Serie A wins against Sassuolo last season by an aggregate score of 5-2.
    • Fiorentina have won each of their previous three domestic appearances by a 1-0 scoreline.
    • Sassuolo have collected just a single point from any of their previous five Serie A showdowns.
    • Saturday’s hosts have also failed to record a single clean sheet in their first 18 top-flight appearances this season.

    Conclusion

    Signing off 2023 enjoying an extended purple patch, Fiorentina will be looking to make another statement here. Along with winning each of their previous three domestic appearances by a 1-0 scoreline, Saturday’s guests are also unbeaten in all of their last eight straight contests across all competitions. Likewise, landing a 3-1 romp when they last travelled to the Mapei Stadium back on June 2nd, Fiorentina will be hoping to cash in on a Sassuolo squad that have collected just a single point from their previous five Serie A showdowns.

    Verdict: Fiorentina win

    Best Odds: 5/4

    Bookmaker: Luckster

    ABOUT THE AUTHOR

    Tom Dunstan


    Formerly of The Independent, Tom has spent the past six years as one of our senior writers and betting experts. Alongside working with numerous publications from across the globe, Tom also graduated from the University of Falmouth in 2014 with a Bachelor of Arts Degree in Digital Media.
    Spending almost the past decade working in countries such as Australia, New Zealand and Canada, he has also spent time featuring in sports radio. Tom can be followed on Instagram - @iamtomdunstan

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