Tuesday, November 26, 2024

Prediction: Troyes vs Lille

Tom Dunstan in Free Soccer Predictions, Ligue 1 1 Jun 2023

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Verdict: Lille win & Both teams to score

Best Odds: 8/5

Bookmaker: Olympusbet

Knowing that three points will be enough to officially punch a top-four return, Lille will travel to the Stade de l’Aube on Saturday night when they meet Troyes.

Troyes

Starting with the hosts, while Troyes might just about clung to their Ligue 1 status last season, it has been another nightmare campaign for Patrick Kisnorbo’s men. Free-falling their way out of France’s top-flight and with it their relegation long since confirmed, the Blues are certainly limping their way over the finish line. Last seen putting in yet another downbeat display as they slumped to a 2-1 loss away at Troyes, the former Melbourne City boss has found growing pressure on his shoulders. In what has quickly transformed into a record-breaking rut, Saturday’s hosts have remarkably failed to muster a single win from any of their last 21 straight appearances across all competitions – a run that stems back to a 3-2 victory against Strasbourg on January 2nd. Only showing a string of glaring defensive issues on either side of the World Cup’s winter break, Troyes will know that they face another huge challenge here.

Team News

Shown a straight red card against Strasbourg on May 21st, 30-year-old Gauthier Gallon will once again miss out on Saturday night through suspension. Likewise, dealing with long-term injury issues, the duo of Florian Tardieu and Renaud Ripart will not feature here.

Despite failing to muster a single Ligue 1 strike since Troyes’ 2-2 draw against Monaco on March 5th, Canadian international Ike Ugbo should keep his place in Kisnorbo’s attack.

Lille

As for the visitors, opening up their Ligue 1 finale holding a one-point buffer over both Rennes and Monaco, Lille find themselves sat in pole position to punch a lucrative top-four return here. Putting in another eye-catching display last time out as they secured a 2-1 victory at home against Nantes, Paulo Fonseca’s side have continued to impress many across France this season. Suffering just a single defeat from any of their last seven top-flight appearances, the former Roma boss will simply be desperate for his side to officially complete their European charge on Saturday night. With their recent flurry highlighted by a rugged 2-1 win against Marseille on May 20th, Les Dogues will also be excited by their most recent showdown against an already-relegated Troyes. Storming to a thumping 5-1 victory when they welcomed Saturday’s hosts to the Stade Pierre-Mauroy on January 15th, Fonseca will be calling on a repeat performance here.

Team News

Dealing with a long-term knee injury and not making a single appearance since retiring from March’s international break, Tiago Djalo will not feature here. However, in what could be a timely boost for Fonseca’s side, Les Dogues are hopeful that Andre Gomes could make a full return.

Bagging both goals against Nantes last weekend and notching 24 Ligue 1 strikes this season, attacking talisman Jonathan David will once again have a key role to play here.

Key Factors to Consider

    • When the two sides met for their reverse Ligue 1 showdown on January 15th, Lille claimed a thumping 5-1 victory at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
    • Les Dogues have suffered just a single defeat from any of their last seven top-flight appearances.
    • On what has become a remarkable rut, Troyes have failed to record a single win from any of their last 21 straight appearances across all competitions.
    • Including a brace against Nantes last weekend, attacking talisman Jonathan David has notched 24 Ligue 1 strikes for Lille this season.
    • Troyes have failed to record a single Ligue 1 victory at the Stade de l’Aube since opening 2023.

    Conclusion

    Knowing that three points will be enough to officially secure their top-four return, Lille should be extremely confident of finishing off their European charge here. Riding a recent wave of momentum and suffering just a single loss from their previous seven outings, Les Dogues are rightfully tipped as a runaway pick here. Looking to cash in on a Troyes squad that have remarkably failed to record one win from any of their last 21 straight appearances, Lille should also be excited by a rampant record against Saturday’s opponents. Breezing to a 5-1 romp when they welcomed Troyes to the Stade Pierre-Mauroy on January 15th, we are expecting a similar outcome here.

    Verdict: Lille win & Both teams to score

    Best Odds: 8/5

    Bookmaker: Olympusbet

    ABOUT THE AUTHOR

    Tom Dunstan


    Formerly of The Independent, Tom has spent the past six years as one of our senior writers and betting experts. Alongside working with numerous publications from across the globe, Tom also graduated from the University of Falmouth in 2014 with a Bachelor of Arts Degree in Digital Media.
    Spending almost the past decade working in countries such as Australia, New Zealand and Canada, he has also spent time featuring in sports radio. Tom can be followed on Instagram - @iamtomdunstan

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