Thursday, November 21, 2024

Prediction: Wolfsburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Verdict: Over 2.5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 8/13

Bookmaker: 888sport

Wolfsburg are coming off a shocking 4-1 win over Bayer Leverkusen earlier this week, and they have entrenched themselves in the sixth place of the standings. They have set their sights in earning a UEFA Europa League berth ahead of the 2020-21 campaign, and a win against Eintracht Frankfurt on Saturday would go a long way towards accomplishing that feat. Kick-off for this match has been slated at 15:30 GMT.

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg currently sit in sixth place of the standings with 42 points, as they bounced back from last weekend’s loss against Dortmund with a 4-1 thrashing of Bayer Leverkusen. Maximilian Arnold and Marin Pongracic stood out for the Wolksvagen Arena side in that contest, but it wouldn’t be wise to expect that kind of performance with only a few days of rest. Having said that, their motivation factor could push them to the extreme given their situation in the standings. They would clinch a UEFA Europa League berth if they season ended today, but they have consistent pressure from several teams below them. With Wolfsburg sitting sixth but the ninth spot just five points below, this is not their moment to get complacent. Wolfsburg must take full advantage of the momentum they created earlier this week. Another win here would put them far closer towards reaching a European berth for the 2020-21 campaign.

Team News

Wolfsburg won’t have Yannick Gerhardt (nose), Paulo Otavio (ankle), Ahmir Mehmedi (Achilles), Mamadou Karamoko (knee) and William (knee) available for this matchup.

As if that wasn’t enough, Ignacio Camacho has been listed as doubtful due to an ankle problem. Joshua Guilavogui (knee) will also be a game-time call.

Eintracht Frankfurt

Frankfurt were clearly not expected to repeat what they did during the 2018-19 season. However, no one expected them to struggle this much during the Bundesliga campaign. Eintracht currently sit in 14th place of the standings and only have a three-point edge over the red zone. In other words, they might finish the weekend in relegation zone if they lose and another results go against them. One of the big reasons why they are struggling so much lies on their defensive performances. After 27 games, Frankfurt currently average nearly 2.0 goals conceded per contest. Their tally of 52 goals against top just four teams, including the bottom three squads in the standings ahead of this round. They are doing a good job upfront with 44 goals scored, but they won’t go anywhere if they can’t solve their defensive issues. Otherwise, they might find themselves playing in the country’s second-tier league in only a few more months.

Team News

Stefan Ilsanker will miss this game through suspension. Goncalo Paciencia has also been discarded, as he is dealing with a muscular injury.

Marco Russ, 34, is doubtful due to a heel injury. However, he is quite unlikely to play.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Two of Wolfsburg’s last two games since the season restarted have featured both teams scoring. Wolfsburg have won both contests.
  • Frankfurt’s last three Bundesliga matches have seen both sides scoring. All three have also featured four or more total goals.
  • Three of the last five competitive games featuring these two sides have ended with under 2.5 goals scored.
  • Frankfurt are riding a five-game winless streak (D1, L4) across all competitions. Their last win came all the way back in March 3 in the DFB Pokal against Bremen.
  • Wolfsburg have not been able to win in their last three home matches in all competitions (D1, L2). They have lost their past two.

Conclusion

Three of the last five matches between these two sides have ended with under 2.5 goals scored. However, Frankfurt’s recent games have all been goalfests.

That is not expected to change here. Therefore, we could easily be in line for at least three total goals in this contest.

Verdict: Over 2.5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 8/13

Bookmaker: 888sport

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Juan Pablo Aravena


A freelance writer and sports analyst with almost five years of experience in the industry before joining SoccerNews, Juan Pablo Aravena is based in Chile and currently contributes to several publications and websites including SoccerNews, 12up, and Sports From The Basement, while also working as a fantasy beat writer for RotoWire, as a database editor for EA Sports, and as a football analyst for SmartOdds and InsideFutbol. His areas of focus are Serie A, Bundesliga, Premier League, LaLiga, and Ligue 1, but he has also written about MLS and South American football in the past.

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